1. Factors of Population Change
A country's population is dynamic, constantly changing in size. This change is determined by three key factors: the number of births, the number of deaths, and the level of international migration. The birth rate measures how many people are born, while the death rate measures how many people die. The difference between these two is called the natural population growth. Migration refers to the movement of people into a country (immigration) or out of a country (emigration). The overall change in population is the sum of natural growth and net migration.
Birth Rate = (Total Live Births / Total Population) × 1000
Death Rate = (Total Deaths / Total Population) × 1000
Rate of Natural Increase = Birth Rate - Death Rate
Net Migration = Number of Immigrants - Number of Emigrants
Population Growth Rate = ((Births - Deaths) + (Immigrants - Emigrants)) / Original Population × 100
Key term
Common pitfall
Worked example 13 marks
A country has a population of 50 million. In one year, there were 750,000 live births and 450,000 deaths. Calculate the birth rate, death rate, and the rate of natural increase.
- 1
Step 1: Calculate the birth rate per 1,000. Birth Rate = (750,000 / 50,000,000) × 1000 = 15. The birth rate is 15 per 1,000 people.
- 2
Step 2: Calculate the death rate per 1,000. Death Rate = (450,000 / 50,000,000) × 1000 = 9. The death rate is 9 per 1,000 people.
- 3
Step 3: Calculate the rate of natural increase. Rate of Natural Increase = Birth Rate - Death Rate = 15 - 9 = 6. The rate of natural increase is 6 per 1,000 people, or 0.6%.
Recap
- Population change is driven by births, deaths, and migration.
- The birth rate is the number of live births per 1,000 people per year.
- The death rate is the number of deaths per 1,000 people per year.
- Natural increase occurs when the birth rate is higher than the death rate.
- Net migration is the difference between the number of people immigrating and emigrating.
Quick check
- What is the term for people moving into a country to live?1 mark
- If a country's birth rate is 12 per 1,000 and its death rate is 14 per 1,000, is its population naturally increasing or decreasing?1 mark